It's the pick'em format that rewards how sure you are — not just whether you're right. Rank each pick 1 to 10 and back your conviction. Here's exactly how it works.
A confidence pool is a sports prediction game where you don't just pick winners — you rank how confident you are in each pick. The surer you are, the more points you put on the line. Get a pick right and you bank the points you assigned it; get it wrong and you get nothing for that game. The player who best matches conviction to reality wins the week.
That single twist — putting your own points on the line — turns a flat “who picked more winners?” contest into a game of judgment. It's why confidence pools are the most-played office pick'em format in America, and why a bold, correct upset call can beat a week of safe, consensus picks.
Each week Pick10 lists 10 eligible games across the leagues. You pick a winner in each one, then assign every pick a confidence rank from 1 to 10, using each number exactly once:
Your surest pick of the week
Worth 10 points — the most riding on any single game.
A confident, settled pick
A favorite you'd bet the crew on. Worth 7 points.
A genuine toss-up
You barely lean one way. Worth 3 points if you're right.
Your shakiest pick
A coin-flip upset. Worth 1 point — low risk, low reward.
You use each number once, so you can't load every game with 10s. You have to decide which pick deserves your biggest confidence number and which has to carry your smallest. That decision is the whole game.
Scoring is simple and transparent. For each game:
Example week
| Pick | Confidence | Result | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs over Bills | 10 | Correct | +10 |
| Lakers over Celtics | 7 | Wrong | 0 |
| Astros over Dodgers | 3 | Correct | +3 |
| Week total | 13 | ||
A 10-confidence pick that hit and a 3-confidence longshot that hit add up to 13. The 7-confidence pick missed, so its points simply weren't earned.
Conviction beats consensus
Slap your 10 on an upset you believe in and you can jump a whole leaderboard in one game.
No betting, no money
No entry fees, wagers, or spreads — safe for family, campus, and workplace leagues.
Every game matters, unequally
A correct 1-point coin-flip still helps; a wrong 10-point lock really stings. Strategy everywhere.
Picks lock per game
Each pick locks at its game's kickoff. You can keep editing later games after earlier ones have started.
Start a private league in 30 seconds, share the invite link, and settle who really knows sports — free, all year round.
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